Mathematical and Computer Simulation Models: Theory & Application
Chagas disease is present in 18 countries (see figure to below) on the American
continent in two different ecological zones: the Southern Cone region, where
the main vector lives inside human homes and in peri-domiciliary areas; and
Central America and Mexico where the main vector species lives both inside
dwellings and in uninhabited areas. Country-wide cross-sectional surveys in the
1980s found an overall prevalence of 17 million cases, with 4.8–5.4 million
people exhibiting clinical symptoms, an annual incidence of 700,000-800,000 new
cases and 45,000 deaths due to the cardiac form of the disease. Other
studies indicate an infection prevalence of 13 million, with 3.0–3.3 million
symptomatic cases and an annual incidence of 200,000 cases in 15 countries,
with estimates of death around 50,000 people.
The disease remains a priority
health problem due to:
- the need for surveillance and control in areas where sylvatic vectors can invade dwellings
- the medical and social costs of care
for infected people in the absence of efficient and well-tolerated therapy,
especially against the chronic form of the disease
- the difficulty in
obtaining priority for control activities and vector elimination in areas where
vectorial transmission has been interrupted
- the need to continue
strengthening mandatory blood-donor screening in endemic areas, as well as in
non-endemic areas where increased travel and/or immigration of potentially
infected donors might compromise donated blood supplies.
Back to main Scenario page back one page continue
|